India is leading the world in new COVID-19 cases with more than 3 million total infectionsAugust 27, 2020
- On Tuesday, India marked its 18th day recording the highest new number of COVID-19 cases in the world, according to Reuters.
- From late January — when India recorded its first case — to July, India recorded 1.6 million cases. In August alone, it recorded another 1.5 million cases.
- The new cases make up about one-quarter of the world's new cases, Indian development economist Jean Dreze wrote in the Scientific American.
- Dreze wrote that India's recorded cases were lower than the actual number of infections, and the discrepancy could be as much as 20:1, based on two surveys from Mumbai and Delhi.
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On Tuesday, India marked its 18th day recording the highest new number of COVID-19 cases in the world.
From late January — when India recorded its first case — to July, India recorded 1.6 million cases. In August alone, it recorded another 1.5 million cases, according to Reuters.
Public Health Foundation of India epidemiologist Giridhar Babu told Reuters he "won't be surprised" if India surpasses Brazil and the US, but noted the size of India's population — it is the second most populous country in the world with 1.3 billion people.
As of August 27, India has more than 3.2 million COVID-19 cases, and is only behind the US and Brazil, but it's deaths at 59,449 COVID-19 are far fewer, according to data from Johns Hopkins University.
The new cases make up about one-quarter of the world's new cases, according to Indian development economist Jean Dreze, writing in the Scientific American.
Dreze wrote that India's recorded cases were far lower than the actual number of infections, claiming the discrepancy could be 20:1, based on two surveys from Mumbai and Delhi.
"This would mean that India already had more than 50 million COVID-19 infections, compared with a recorded figure of 2.5 million," he wrote.
But that also showed a "silver lining," he wrote — that India's COVID-19 mortality rate could be as low one per every thousand.
He wrote mortality rates could "spike" due to the massive burden the pandemic has put on India's health system, as well as its impact on people's livelihoods, which makes it harder to keep people healthy, with less money for food and shelter.
India's first cases, reported in late January, were three university students who had been studying in Wuhan, according to Al Jazeera.
In March, India went into a national lockdown, and India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi has backed people wearing masks and following social distancing, The Guardian reported.
When the country came out of its lockdown in May, it found it had slowed the coronavirus but it had not flattened the curve, according to the Washington Post.
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