Has the latest EU summit changed anything for May’s Brexit deal?December 14, 2018
Has the latest EU summit changed anything for May’s Brexit deal? PM set to confront her MPs AGAIN as she tries to save her divorce plan
- Theresa May has navigated the latest EU summit but had rows with EU leaders
- She will return to Parliament on Monday to update MPs on the fate of her Brexit
- Latest trip comes after she won 200-117 in a confidence vote of Tory MPs
Theresa May is flying home from Brussels tonight have survived the latest EU summit – but only after heated rows with senior officials.
The Prime Minister will face MPs again on Monday afternoon to start yet another week of trench warfare over her deal.
But she may be grateful to still be up and running at all two days after dramatically surviving a confidence vote on Wednesday night.
What has Theresa May brought home from Brussels today?
Mrs May secured some political assurances in the summit conclusions – but was sent away from Brussels with new warnings they will not reopen the deal.
The PM wanted legal assurances about how long the backstop would be allowed to run for but was disappointed.
What is the next stage of the Brexit process?
Mrs May will appear in front of MPs for another marathon statement in the Commons on Monday afternoon. She will tell them what happened and take questions – probably for at least two hours.
The PM insists it remains a choice between her deal, no deal or no Brexit – but a softer Brexit deal, a new general election or even a new referendum remain plausible outcomes for the process.
While Theresa May has survived as Tory leader and PM, she faces the same titanic problems in getting her Brexit deal over the line in a deeply divided Parliament
Does it mean the meaningful vote can be rescheduled?
Not yet. Mrs May admitted yesterday she was unlikely to make an immediate breakthrough at this summit and she was no wrong. Downing Street confirmed yesterday the vote would not happen before Christmas.
No 10 is promising to hold the vote as soon as possible in January and before January 21 but has not set a date.
Why did Theresa May face a confidence vote on Wednesday?
The contest was triggered because at least 48 Tory MPs sent letters of no confidence to Sir Graham Brady, chairman of the 1922 Committee – the body which represents Tory MPs.
Sir Graham is obliged to call a vote if 15 per cent of Tory MPs write to him calling for one – currently 48 MPs.
Mrs May won the vote 200-117.
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What did Theresa May do to convince her MPs to back her?
The PM pleaded with her MPs to back her at an emotionally-charged meeting of the 1922 Committee of Tory MPs.
She promised them that she would not stay on to lead the party into the 2022 General Election – sparking accusations that she has become a ‘lame duck’ PM.
Mrs May also promised to get political and legal assurances about how the backstop element of the deal works before putting it to Parliament for a showdown vote.
What happens now she has won?
Theresa May cannot face a fresh challenge from within the Tory party for another 12 months – meaning that she can stay on and try to finish Brexit.
But leading Tory rebels Jacob Rees-Mogg and Steve Baker have stuck to their guns and repeated their demand for her to go – saying she has been left mortally wounded by the sheer scale of the revolt against her.
What would have happened if Theresa May had lost?
If Theresa May lost she would have had to resign as Conservative party leader and would have been barred from standing for the leadership contest.
She would have had to stay on as Prime Minister while Tory MPs decided who her successor would be.
Or she could have quit immediately and handed over to a caretaker leader – with her de facto deputy David Lidington tipped to be the man to fulfill this role.
Does the failed coup kill off no deal?
Tory Brexiteers failed in their bid to oust Theresa May – meaning they did not trigger a leadership contest and manage to install one of their own to the top job.
They had hoped that a Tory MP who was a ‘true believer’ in Brexit – such as Boris Johnson or Dominic Raab – would take a second referendum off the table altogether and instead steer through a ‘managed no deal’.
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