East Africa warned to prepare for an invasion of billions of locusts

East Africa warned to prepare for an invasion of billions of locusts

June 19, 2020

East Africa is warned to prepare for an invasion of billions of locusts that could devastate the continent’s food supply in middle of coronavirus pandemic

  • Locusts could devour same amount of food in a day as around 35,000 people 
  • East Africa is already reeling from damaging rains and the coronavirus pandemic
  • Migratory pests descended on East Africa in record numbers since late 2019  
  • Third wave predicted to hatch in coming weeks, just as farmers take to the fields
  • Here’s how to help people impacted by Covid-19

East Africa is bracing for a third outbreak of desert locusts, with billions of the destructive insects about to hatch and devastate food supplies.

The insects could devour the same amount of food in a day as approximately 35,000 people in the region already reeling from damaging rains and the coronavirus pandemic.

Spurred by favourable weather conditions, the migratory pests have descended on East Africa in record numbers since late 2019 and another wave is about to take to the skies despite the concerted use of pesticides.

The looming third wave still lies as eggs beneath the soil, but is predicted to hatch in coming weeks, just as farmers take to the fields. 

The International Rescue Committee said in a report this month: ‘Tens of thousands of hectares of cropland and pasture have already been damaged across the Horn and East Africa.’

Invading locusts spring into flight from ground vegetation as young girls in traditional Samburu-wear run past to their cattle in Kenya in January

Locusts swarm from ground vegetation at Lerata village in Kenya at the beginning of this year

In Ethiopia between January and April, locusts destroyed 1.3 million hectares of grazing land and nearly 200,000 hectares of crops.

This resulted in the loss of 350,000 tonnes of cereals, IGAD, the East Africa regional organisation, said in a June report.

But these initial estimates – corresponding to the first and second locust waves – do not fully capture the extent of damage as field surveys have been hindered by the coronavirus pandemic.

‘Until we get extended figures, I would just say Ethiopia was definitely the most affected in terms of croplands, then Somalia,’ says Kenneth Kemucie Mwangi from ICPAC, the climate monitoring programme of IGAD.

East Africa is bracing for a third outbreak of desert locusts, with billions of the destructive insects about to hatch and devastate food supplies. Pictured: Locusts in Kenya in January

The insects could devour the same amount of food in a day as approximately 35,000 people in the region already reeling from damaging rains and the coronavirus pandemic. Pictured: Locusts feed on some ground vegetation in Kenya in January

Somalia, which like Kenya experienced heavy rains and flooding in recent months that left scores dead, had already declared a ‘national emergency’ against the locust scourge in February.

So far East African neighbours Tanzania, Rwanda and Burundi have been spared the insects, which travel in huge swarms billions of insects strong, and can migrate 90 miles in a single day. 

The World Bank in May approved a $500 million programme to help countries vulnerable to hunger in East Africa fight the pests.

Pesticide spraying operations have been underway since February, helping wipe out staggering numbers of the insects capable of multiplying their numbers 20-fold every three months.

‘About 400,000 hectares were controlled in the region between January and mid May. We estimate that 400 billion locusts have been exterminated,’ says Cyril Ferrand, a Nairobi-based expert with the FAO.

Locusts gathered on the ground in Samburu County, Kenya, last month as east Africa braces for a third outbreak

A small plane fumigates a locust swarm that had been roosting over night in Kenya in May

‘We can’t estimate the total population because we don’t have access to certain areas, especially in Somalia. But we know that it’s been seriously reduced.’

In Kenya, where swarms blotted out the sky for miles in recent months, locusts have retreated to just three semi-arid counties in the country’s far north.

Fortunately too, forecasts of dire hunger did not materialise as the first swarm to arrive from Yemen in 2019 spared the end-of-year harvest, as the crops were already too mature.

The insects, which can eat their body weight in food in a single day, strip the leaves but not seeds.

‘We have not seen signs of a large scale impact on food security,’ says Lark Walters of the Famine Early Warning Systems Network, a US-funded food security monitoring organisation.

A man chases away locusts that were roosting in trees in Kenya in May. East Africa has endured a string of disasters of near-Biblical proportions in 2020

However that doesn’t mean the impact hasn’t been keenly felt among vulnerable communities where access to food is fragile and any shocks can cause immense hardship, he said.

East Africa has endured a string of disasters of near-Biblical proportions in 2020: surging rain and devastating floods, locusts and then amid it all – a viral pandemic.

‘Somali pastoralist communities have had three years of drought, then the locusts, now Covid, which will prevent them from exporting their livestock,’ said Ferrand of the FAO.

‘For them it’s disaster after disaster, so their resilience is already very low. The slightest shock can push them into extreme poverty.’

These shocks can ripple too through the wider economy, where coronavirus lockdowns and border closures have already dragged on trade and caused financial hardship.

The looming third wave still lies as eggs beneath the soil, but is predicted to hatch in coming weeks, just as farmers take to the fields. Pictured: Locusts roosting in trees in Kenya

On June 11, the credit rating agency Fitch Ratings noted that while coronavirus was the primary factor affecting growth, ‘the ongoing desert locust invasion represents significant downside risk to East Africa’s macroeconomic stability’.  

Ethiopia’s croplands, most notably in the north, where 90 percent of its cereal harvest is planted, is at particularly high risk, he added.

Warmer weather, more rain and wind gusts are expected to direct the insects northwards, deep into the Horn of Africa and as far as Yemen, areas that will become more conducive to their reproduction in the coming months. 

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