Houston Astros at New York Yankees ALCS Game 5 odds, lines, picks and betting tips

Houston Astros at New York Yankees ALCS Game 5 odds, lines, picks and betting tips

October 18, 2019

The Houston Astros and New York Yankees continue their American League Championship Series at Yankee Stadium with Game 5 Friday at 8:08 p.m. ET (on FS1). Below is a breakdown of the Astros vs. Yankees sports gambling odds and lines, with MLB postseason betting tips on the moneyline, spread and Over/Under, along with suggested bets.

The Astros lead the series 3-1, notching three straight wins after dropping the opener.

Astros at Yankees: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Justin Verlander vs. RHP James Paxton

Verlander went 21-6 with a 2.58 ERA in 34 regular-season starts for the Astros. This includes 300 strikeouts in just 223 innings and a WHIP of 0.803. He is a top contender to win another Cy Young award.

  • Last start : No-decision in Game 2 behind 6 2/3 IP quality start with two earned runs and seven hits. Houston ultimately won Game 2 by a score of 3-2.
  • Postseason history : 14-8 with a 3.18 ERA in 28 starts, but he’s 1-1 with a 3.12 ERA (6 ER, 17 1/3 IP) in three starts in 2019.
  • Career vs. Yankees : 8-7 with a 3.55 ERA in 22 starts.

Paxton was 15-6 with a 3.82 ERA in 29 starts for New York. Paxton had 186 strikeouts in just 150 2/3 innings pitched.

  • Last start : Pitched 2 1/3 innings before getting a quick hook in Game 2 versus Houston. He allowed four hits and one earned run but walked two batters.
  • Postseason history : 1-1 with a 5.14 ERA in two starts, including yielding four earned runs in seven innings pitched.
  • Career vs. Astros : 8-4 with a 3.24 ERA in 14 starts, including 0-0 with a 3.86 ERA (1 ER, 2 1/3 IP) in one postseason start.

Astros at Yankees: By the numbers


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  • The Astros are 24-9 in Verlander’s starts. The Yankees are 20-10 in Paxton’s starts.
  • Three of the four ALCS games have played Under the projected total. Game 4 combined for 11 runs in order to connect on the Over for the first time all series.
  • The Astros won the regular-season series 4-3 with the O/U going 5-2.
  • The Astros are 35-47-1 O/U on the road, the second-best Under record in MLB. The Yankees are 38-45-2 O/U at home.

Astros at Yankees: Key injuries

Yankees LF Giancarlo Stanton (quad) is expected to be available to return.

Astros at Yankees: Odds, picks and betting tips

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Moneyline : The ASTROS ( -149) are the STRONGEST PLAY. The Yankees own MLB’s third-best home record this season at 59-26, but the Astros are 47-36 on the road. Verlander is the preferred choice over Paxton even if Verlander has been a bit vulnerable at times this postseason.

New to sports betting? Bet $14.93 to win $10 on the Astros. Every $1 wagered would profit $0.67 if Houston wins.

Run line : AVOID the spread. This has a decent probability of being a one-run game. The best play is to stay away and look for value in other places.

Over/Under : Three Unders started this ALCS but a late Houston burst pushed the Over in Game 4. Let’s make it four out of five. Play the UNDER 7.5 ( -105) and count on the trend to continue.

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