Golf betting tips and free bets for World Match Play – Get £120 in free bets for tournamentMarch 23, 2021
The World Match Play usually throws up plenty of shock results – only three world No1s have reached the final in its 22 year history, and no-one from inside the top twenty featured in the last two finals.
The tips feature one player from each of the four brackets – which means they could not meet before the semi-finals – with the best odds available for them to finish top of their four-man qualifying group, and to go all the way.
Some bookies are only paying out on the top four, which is shameful. But Paddy Power and Betfair paying out a top eight finish, which guarantees a return if you player reaches the quarter-finals.
Brian Harman – Group 10: Top 8 finish 17/2 – To win 70/1
Both of Harman’s prices look big after his eye-catching effort to claim a share of third at the Players Championship. There are question marks over the form or fitness of all three of his group rivals – Patrick Cantlay, Hideki Matsuyama and Carlos Ortiz.
Winning the group would set up a last 16 clash against the winner of Group 7, which features Patrick Reed and Joaquin Niemann, while Sawgrass winner Justin Thomas, defending champion Kevin Kisner, and Jordan Spieth are all possible quarter-final opponents.
It is probably the strongest bracket of the lot. But Harman is a similar player to Kisner, and Austin Country Club is a good fit for dogged types who can hole clutch putts.
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Jon Rahm – Group 3: Top 8 finish 2/1 – To win 11/1
The world No 3’s group does not look it will take a lot of winning, as Ryan Palmer, Shane Lowry and Sebastian Munoz are hardly tearing up trees at the moment – although the same could be said of Rahm since he switched clubs at the start of the year.
The Spaniard will still kick himself if he does not make it through to the knockout stages, where he would face the winner of Group 14, with Daniel Berger as the top-rated player – and his decision to pull out of the Honda Classic with a rib problem was not a good sign.
Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele are the other top seeds in the same bracket, but it would be no great surprise to see Cameron Smith despatch them and square up to Rahm in the quarters.
Billy Horschel – Group 4: Top 8 finish 7/1 – To win 70-1
The other three players in his group – Collin Morikawa, Max Homa and J.T.Poston, are all making their World Match Play debuts, while Horschel is a terrier who never knows when he is beaten.
Morikawa’s putting lets him down too often, and in an 18 hole shoot-out, any blips will prove even more costly. If Horshcel makes it to the last 16, he should be up against either Viktor Hovland or Abraham Ancer, two more newbies to this competition.
Bryson DeChambeau is the highest seed in the third bracket. But apart from a few holes this course does not suit his monster hitting approach, and he could easily get frustrated.
Paul Casey – Group 9: Top 8 finish 3/1 – To win 25/1
Casey was runner-up in this event in 2009 and 2010 and is playing the best golf of his life. He has not finished outside the top 12 in six starts this year, with a win in Abu Dhabi and a tie for fifth in the Players Championship as the stand-out performances.
He should have little trouble in taking care of Mackenzie Hughes and Talor Gooch – who were both treading water after making the cut at the Honda last week – and his final group match against Webb Simpson should be a winner takes all battle.
Next up would be a quarter-final against the winner of the all-European Group 8 – Tyrrell Hatton, Lee Westwood, Sergio Garcia, and Matt Wallace. Good luck in sorting that one out, but Casey would fancy his chances against any of them.
(Odds correct at time of publication)
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